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Back in 2012 Meb Faber published a paper called A Quantitative Approach To Tactical Asset Allocation in the Journal of Wealth Management. Meb Faber found the 200-day moving average useful and decided to look at the following simple trend following system in the S&P 500 based on the 200-day moving average:
Go long the S&P 500 when the price crosses the 200-day moving average, and sell when it crosses below the 200-day average. This is probably not the most sensational strategy, to say the least. However, Faber’s article is a great read because of his “simple” ideas, yet very powerful.
Please click here to continue reading about the trend following strategy in the S&P 500.