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Deep Pullback Strategy (Only 14% Drawdown)

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QuantifiedStrategies.com
Aug 21, 2026
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Today, we look at a strategy we have called deep pullback strategy. It’s a mean-reversion strategy, but with a longer time frame than is typical for stock mean-reversion strategies.

Deep Pullback Strategy

Deep Pullback Strategy

Strategy type: Mean reversion (pullback).

Market: S&P 500 (SPY).

Performance

  • No. of trades: 128

  • Average gain per trade: 0.8%

  • Win ratio: 78%

  • Profit factor: 3

  • Annual returns (CAGR): 3%

  • Exposure/time in the market: 5%

  • Risk-adjusted return: 52% (CAGR divided by time spent in the market (0.05))

  • Max drawdown: 14%

Trading Rules

We used the following trading rules for this backtest:

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