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Donchian Breakout Strategy

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QuantifiedStrategies.com
Aug 10, 2026
∙ Paid

Today, we backtest a classic Donchian Breakout Strategy. This is a trend-following approach designed to capture strong price moves as they break beyond recent highs or lows.

By using Donchian Channels to identify potential breakout points, the strategy aims to enter emerging trends and stay with them while momentum continues.

Donchian Breakout Strategy

We backtested the trading rules on the following ETFs:

  • SPY: US stocks

  • EFA: International developed stocks ex. USA.

  • EEM: Emerging markets stocks

  • GLD: Gold

  • TLT: US long-term bonds

  • DBC: Commodities

From 2004, we get the following result (monthly bars):

Donchian Breakout Strategy

Performance

  • No. of trades: 78

  • Average gain per trade: 4.9%

  • Win ratio: 51%

  • Profit Factor: 2.7

  • Annual returns (CAGR): 7.5%

  • Exposure/time in the market: 72%

  • Risk-adjusted return: 10.3% (CAGR divided by time spent in the market (0.72))

  • Max drawdown: -18%

Trading Rules

We have the full code for this strategy for TradingView, Python, Metatrader, Ninjatrader, Tradestation, and Amibroker on our website - Platinum/Annual membership:

We made the following trading rules:

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